This article is
an edited version of a talk and paper presented to the Mars Society on August 14 in
Boulder, Colorado. See http://www.marssociety.org/
for information.
Suppose the US Government made the following declaration:
The first person to land on
Mars, and to live there some specified minimum duration (such as a year), and to return
alive owns the entire Red Planet.
Objectivist philosopher
Harry Binswanger recently proposed this policy (without specifying a required duration of
stay) and defended it on moral grounds. But Dr. Binswanger made this defense to illustrate
a more fundamental point, which is: Mars must be recognized as property-not some time in
the future, but now. This is more important than the details of the specific rule for
establishing initial ownership of Mars.
I am going to argue in favor of Dr. Binswanger's specific proposal.
Before judging the morality of this proposal, let us examine its meaning-and its possible
consequences-in concrete terms. If this declaration by the government were made, what
would happen?
Here's one scenario.
The government makes its announcement. Robert Zubrin [founder of the Mars Society] runs to
the telephone. He calls every wealthy person he knows, to try to raise money for a mission
to Mars. Other Mars enthusiasts do the same. Wealthy individuals interested in Mars
receive many phone calls.
Concurrently, the leading aerospace companies call emergency meetings with their senior
executives. This emergency is not a disaster, but an opportunity. The companies call in
leading Mars experts to try to get a handle on the options and the prospects.
One leading Mars expert produces a detailed plan of how to accomplish the first manned
mission to Mars, complete with a detailed schedule and budget: 10 years, and only $10
billion. He presents the plan to potential investors. How can he miss? That cost is only
about 2% of what NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Agency) said it would cost 15 years
ago. And for only $10 billion, his investors will own an entire planet.
The investors laugh. This planet we will own, they ask, is it Earth? No? Well, then, how
much is it worth? The investors explain to the Mars expert: Owning Mars-getting all the
way to Mars and back-is getting to first base. In order to have a successful venture, a
venture to invest in, the property must be valuable.
How valuable? $10 billion? Hardly. A successful, manned Mars mission, according to the
most optimistic estimates, would take a minimum of 10 years from planning to completion.
Venture capital firms, in order to justify their high-risk investments, seek a minimum of
10 times growth in their investment over five years. And they want to be able to
"cash out"-to sell their initial investment if they want to. Assuming that the
$10 billion would be spent smoothly over the 10 years (i.e., tying up the capital an
average of five years), means that after the successful mission, Mars would have to be
worth at least $100 billion in order to justify the investment of $10 billion. A hundred
billion is almost $3 an acre.
Now, even after a successful, manned Mars mission, why would other investors pay the
original venture capitalists $100 billion for Martian land? (Why would they even pay $100
million, or one million?) The land would be almost completely undeveloped. For anyone to
invest in such a risky proposition, there would have to be a reasonable chance for the
land to be worth at least 10 times as much five years later-one trillion dollars, 15 years
after the beginning of the original project.
That's almost $30 an acre. Today, you can still buy range land in New Mexico for $40 an
acre. And that is with Earth's atmosphere included, and substantially lower transportation
and energy costs.
Moreover, the risks facing a financially successful Mars mission are much greater than
those facing other new ventures, such as an Internet company. First, there can be only one
winner of the race to Mars. Second, there may be cost overruns. Third, the mission could
fail. Even one failed launch could mean a two-year delay (waiting for the next launch
window), which would mean billions of dollars just in the cost of funds.
So the investors laugh. But that's not the end of our scenario.
The Mars experts, and others, do more thinking. They think of ingenious financing
methods-for instance, selling TV broadcasting rights, merchandising, etc.-which reduce the
amount of investment capital needed. And they do much more thinking on how to make use of
Martian land-not just in theoretical generalities, but in the form of specific plans. In
other words, they think more carefully about the long term.
But the problem is very difficult. And for a while, it seems little progress is being
made. But beneath the surface, a shift is occurring. In 1999, about a thousand zealots
attended the Mars Society convention. Maybe a few thousand more people were actively
thinking about how to explore and exploit Mars. Millions more followed the action as
spectators, on NASA's Web site. Formerly, when these millions went to work or to school,
or when they were in the shower, they were thinking about how to make a fortune in
computers, or on the Internet, etc. Now, with the chance of owning and exploiting Martian
land a real possibility, their shower-time thoughts turn to new directions for getting
rich.
One engineer thinks of a process for manufacturing computer chips that benefits from the
combination of sparse atmosphere and the availability of energy and water on Mars. Another
thinks of a way to build nuclear power plants on Mars and then transport the energy back
to Earth. Many others think of viable ideas that seemed fantastic a year earlier.
In short, there is a shift in the allocation of resources-specifically, in the one most
precious resource of all: time spent by human minds. Millions of creative
individuals-among them many geniuses, motivated by the challenge to create and the
opportunity to profit from their own creation-start thinking about Mars and swell the
ranks of today's Martian pioneers. As brilliant and determined as Bob Zubrin and today's
Martian pioneers are, millions of determined people can accomplish millions of times more
than thousands of determined people can. The increase is far greater than the proportional
increase in population; in fact, it's exponential because of the exchange of knowledge in
a politically free, division-of-labor economy.
Next, the patent office is besieged by patent applications for processes designed to
operate on Mars-power generators, water drilling systems, construction techniques,
communication systems. But the patents can be fully secured only after they have been
proved out on the surface of Mars. This, in turn, gives the inventors a reason to want to
own land on Mars (to prove out their inventions), which gives them a reason to want to
invest in ventures to own Mars or to purchase options to buy Martian land from those
ventures. And, of course, if the inventions make sense, all of Mars would be more
valuable.
Now another curious thing happens. A director of a major corporation not even in the
aerospace industry asks its chief executive: What's your Mars strategy? Companies begin to
realize: If they don't have a Mars strategy, a strategy for exploiting Mars, their
competitors might. Companies in every industry assign task forces, allocating even more
mental resources, to think about Mars just as they think about the Internet today.
All this thinking pays off. Viable plans for exploiting Mars are developed. Several
ventures, seeking to be the first to own Mars, gain the financing they seek. How do
investors protect themselves from the risk that a competitor will beat them in the race to
own Mars? By investing in several competing ventures. Some ventures even do partial stock
swaps (of 10 or 20 per cent of their respective stocks) to protect each other.
These racing ventures are not merely ventures in one mission of space travel. They are
ventures in long-term real estate development, because that's the only way for them to
make their investment pay. Owning property makes the owners think long-term, in pursuit of
an ultimate pay-off, instead of thinking of short-term programs like the Apollo moon
program.
Returning to our scenario, this long-term real-estate development includes ongoing systems
of economical transportation, communication, energy production, construction, tourism,
entertainment, and many other things that millions of enterprising profit-seekers think
of. Their investors and business partners include venture capitalists, speculators, and
potential builders of all the above systems, some of whom invest in return for land
rights, energy rights, broadcast rights, travel rights, and other property rights that
will enable them to build these systems.
The structures of the competing ventures vary widely. One is an aerospace company that
plans to sell parcels of its land to the highest bidders once its mission is successful.
Another venture is a real estate firm that contracted with an aerospace firm to complete
the first mission in return for half the proceeds of the subsequent land sales. Another is
a joint venture among an aerospace company, an oil company (planning to drill for water),
a construction company, a manufacturer, and an entertainment company. And so on.
Some members of the public worry about the idea of one company owning an entire planet.
While there would be nothing wrong with such a situation, that situation is the opposite
of the plans of the racing companies. No one company has anywhere near the resources to
exploit the land of a whole planet on its own. Each company plans to sell and lease pieces
of property to the highest bidders, in order to recoup the huge investment needed to win
the race, and then to develop the land that it does choose to keep. Each company, rather
than planning to forbid others from exploring Mars after ownership is secured, plans to
promote further exploration by others as much as possible-because the more that other
explorers find, the more these others will be willing to pay for the land.
As the race continues, some ventures drop out, others join forces. Eventually, one venture
wins the race, owns Mars, sells much of its land, and makes a good profit. The venture
also goes on to build a space airline servicing the new Martian landowners. Some of these
landowners profit from their Martian ventures, others do not. The ones who do badly sell
their land to others. In a short time, the free market sees to it that Martian land
accumulates in the hands of those who make the best economic use of it.
The buying, selling, and exploiting of land is greatly facilitated by clear, objective
titles to ownership, registered by the us government and enforced by virtue of its
jurisdiction over the owners back on Earth.
Because there is one initial owner of the whole planet, there is no bickering, fighting,
or deception over who has the right to which claim over what boundaries. Such fighting was
a great problem in the settling of much of the land of the United States. Also, there is
no room for subjectivity, corruption, and political intrigue over what constitutes the
earning of a title-as there was in the implementation of the Homestead Act of 1862. (For
example, what constitutes working the land and building a home?) The rule for initial
ownership is unambiguous: get to Mars, stay for a year, and return alive. Period.
Buyers of land from the initial owners are not daunted by the need to pay for the land.
For example, a company that buys 100 square miles of land to build an industrial complex
and surrounding city would much rather pay $3 an acre, in other words $200 thousand, or
even three hundred dollars an acre ($20 million), than be concerned about whether the
government would approve their own land claim some time in the future, in the face of
competing claims. Twenty million dollars is a grain in the regolith compared to the other
costs of such a project. In general, the cost of buying unbuilt-on land is a minuscule
fraction of any Mars project's budget.
In return for enforcing clear property rights, the government charges a modest yearly fee,
not to exceed a ceiling set at the time of the government's initial declaration. Also, any
Martians wishing to have their contracts enforced by the government would pay a small fee
per contract for that service. These fees would be voluntary and very low, since they
would cover the expenses only of protecting property rights.
United States citizens on Earth are taxed nothing for Mars. Only those Earthlings who
expect to profit in some way, financially or otherwise, invest their time and money in
Mars. If their investments fail, only they suffer. If they succeed, some of the rewards of
developing Mars are theirs.
Thanks to the recognition and enforcement of objective property rights, a productive
Martian civilization begins and thrives.
That was scenario 1. Here is scenario 2. After the government declares that the first to
land on Mars, live there a year, and return to Earth alive owns the entire red planet . .
. nothing happens for a long time. No one creates a financially viable venture. Ten years
go by. Twenty years. Fifty years. Mars remains dormant . . . for 100 years, before someone
finally launches a mission. But when it finally does happen, it is because the economy and
the technology base have progressed to the point that exploiting Mars is a profitable
proposition. And then, as in scenario 1, a mission to Mars will not be a one-shot,
short-term Apollo program, but the start of a long-term, sustained effort to build a
thriving Martian civilization.
That's a look at the future. Now let's look at the past.
Some might argue that recognizing ownership of all of Mars by the first explorer is out of
line with our past history of recognizing land rights, that it grants too much to the
first explorer. For instance, by the Homestead Act of 1862 a settler had to work his plot
of land for five years before owning it outright. And Lewis and Clark were certainly not
awarded the entire half of the continent they crossed en route to the Pacific.
Would the first explorer of Mars be getting a better deal than Lewis and Clark or the
homesteaders? Let 's examine the facts.
The original budget for the Lewis and Clark expedition was $2,500. In the same year, the
price the us paid for the Louisiana Territory (which was only part of the land Lewis and
Clark crossed) was more than $23 million (if you include certain French claims and
interest on purchase bonds). In other words, the value of the land that Lewis and Clark
crossed was already worth on the order of 10,000 times as much as the budgeted cost of
their mission.
In contrast, a mission to Mars costs on the order of $20 billion to $200 billion. The
planet Mars, far from being worth 10,000 times as much as the cost of a mission, is today
not even worth the cost of the mission itself. After a successful mission is completed,
Mars might be worth much more, but that would be due to the successful mission. The
increased value would be the achievement of the successful mission.
Suppose the $2,500 budgeted for the Lewis and Clark mission were paid in the form of land
instead of cash. That would come to about 100 square miles of Louisiana Territory, out of
the total size of 900,000 square miles. Would anyone have objected to such a payment?
(Actually, Lewis and Clark and their colleagues were eventually granted more land than
that as a further reward for their success.) But observe, ownership of Mars is not out of
line with such a payment because Mars today is worth less than the cost of a mission.
Now compare Dr. Binswanger's Mars proposal to the Homestead Act of 1862. Suppose a Mars
mission costs $10 billion over 10 years. Including the cost of capital (not even
considering the high risk factor) that's $20 billion, which is the equivalent of about one
million average man-years. Now each homesteader had to work five years on his land; but
during those five years, he was also supporting himself. The million man-years investment
in a Mars mission is generating no food and shelter and so must come out of savings.
Assuming a high savings rate of 20%, we have the equivalent of one million people working
for five years. That's each person working five years to own 56 square miles of Martian
land compared to each homesteader working five years to own his choice of a quarter of a
square mile of farmland in the middle of the us. At the end of his five years, the
homesteader had productive land with a home on it. At the end of his five years the
Martian explorer has 200 times as much land, but it is barren terrain to say the least.
Who has the better deal? The Martian still has to pour tremendous amounts of capital into
his land to have a chance of getting anything out of it. And what percentage of his 56
square miles is prime land, even by Martian standards?
As we can see, Dr. Binswanger's proposal does not amount to handing over riches to the
first Martian explorer. If there are any riches to be had, they have yet to be created. It
would be different if Mars were already worth $20 billion or more, or if a trip to Mars
and back cost only a few hundred thousand dollars. But, as the numbers stand today, owning
all of Mars as a reward for getting there and back is not a better deal than was received
by Lewis and Clark or the homesteaders of 1862.
Now we are ready to address the moral issue of Dr. Binswanger's proposal. In my judgment,
it comes down to this: Whoever implements the concept of getting to Mars and living there
turns a virtually worthless ball of rock into something of substantial value, into real
estate. Initial ownership of that real estate is a just reward to the one who creates its
initial value.
The traditional, Lockean view of recognizing initial ownership of land is based on the
idea that the initial claimant must make some use of the land, and must make some actual
physical improvement to the land such as building a home, cultivating the land,
constructing a mine, etc. This was the idea behind the Homestead Act of 1862.
This view, while a monumental advance at the time of Locke, because it established a solid
philosophical basis for private property, is not exactly right, in my judgment. Rather
than the essential issue being the physical changing or improving of land, the essential
issue is endowing value to the land. And such value may be endowed, not only by a physical
improvement to the land, but by a preceding improvement of knowledge about and access to
the land, proved objectively by physical demonstration. In other words, it is the
explorer, not the homesteader, who may be the creator of the initial value of a body of
land. And the creator of the initial value is the rightful initial owner.
It has often been said, even by vocal proponents of free enterprise who claim to hate
government subsidies, that while private citizens are good at settling or homesteading,
the government is good at exploring. They argue that we have always needed the government
to do the exploring, to pave the way for the private settlers. My reply is: Recognize
private property for exploring, and you will see that private citizens make better
explorers than do government employees.
The only possible objection I can see to awarding ownership of Mars to the first
successful mission is if the whole of Mars is already, today, worth more than the cost of
a mission. So the government could declare: "If anyone objects to the securing of all
of Mars for the authors of the first successful mission, let that person or private
organization make a bona fide offer of $30 billion today for ownership of Mars." I
don't think anyone would make an offer anywhere near that amount. If someone did, that
could be considered a fair payment to the federal government for the groundwork that was
done by NASA with the initial unmanned missions to Mars. The government should then accept
that payment (or the payment of the highest bidder) in exchange for recognizing the
private ownership of Mars.
Either way, Mars would be recognized as private property and that is the essential
requirement, both morally and practically, for the exploration and exploitation of Mars.
Here then is Dr. Binswanger's main point: Much more important than the exact rule for
initial ownership is that Mars be owned-that it be property-not some time in the future,
but now-not merely as a just reward and incentive for settlement, but as a just reward and
incentive for initial exploration. Once the rules of ownership of Mars are clearly
established, then private citizens will have the assurance that their moral right to keep
the fruits of their labor regarding Mars will be protected.
And speaking practically, as my scenarios illustrated: Regardless of who owns Mars
initially, the free market would ensure that pieces of Martian real estate would quickly
end up in the hands of those who could make the most productive use of them. Indeed, even
if tomorrow the government picked a name out of a hat and declared, "You, John Doe,
now own Mars," we would be far better off than we are today-because the next day,
John Doe would sell parcels of his land to the highest bidders, and we would be back on
track with my earlier scenarios. (The only drawback would be that John Doe would have
received an unearned windfall; the money he received should rightfully go to those who
develop Mars.)
This private-property approach to Mars exploration is the only approach consistent with
capitalism. The best definition of capitalism was formulated by Ayn Rand:
Capitalism is a social
system based on the recognition of individual rights, including property rights, in which
all property is privately owned.1
Ayn Rand also writes:
The right to life is the
source of all rights-and the right to property is their only implementation. Without
property rights, no other rights are possible. Since man has to sustain his life by his
own effort, the man who has no right to the product of his effort has no means to sustain
his life. The man who produces while others dispose of his product, is a slave.2
Until Mars is turned into
private property, the only alternative means of exploring and exploiting that planet is
through the forced service-in other words, the enslavement-of others: either the explorers
who develop land that is later expropriated from them or the taxpayers who are forced to
pay for that exploration.
A capitalist, private-property policy is not an alternative moral policy for the
exploration of Mars; it is the only moral policy.
If no private organization wants to explore Mars in the absence of government financing,
then-unless there is a valid military need-Mars should not be explored.
The proper, moral purpose of government is to protect the rights of its citizens-the
rights to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness-and the right required in order for
these other rights to be secured: the right to property. It is not the proper purpose of
government to launch its own ventures in religion nor (on the same principle that requires
the separation of church and state) to engage in business, art, charity-or science. It is
doubly wrong when the government in fact violates the property rights of its citizens by
spending the money earned by those hard-working citizens on such ventures.
As a capitalist and a lover of technology, I judge the NASA space program and a NASA
mission to Mars to be morally a far better government expenditure than welfare-state
programs such as Medicare, public housing projects, etc. At least NASA is creating
something of value that benefits all Americans, instead of just taking money from
producers and giving it away to non-producers. And I idolize American astronauts and NASA
engineers for their heroic achievements. But we will never know what these same heroic
achievers would have accomplished if NASA had been a private company with a chance to own
the moon-and if all the money the government spent on NASA had remained in the hands of
private citizens and had been invested in other equally heroic ventures that we will never
know about; we will never know about these other ventures because they were not allowed to
happen-because the money needed to finance them was taken from their rightful owners.
Suppose NASA's budget for sending a man to Mars had been approved in 1989. Suppose the
project had been successful, and suppose it ended up costing less than half what was
budgeted-say, $200 billion instead of the budgeted $450 billion. Suppose an American
astronaut had walked on Mars in 1999. Would that have been a good thing?
Two hundred billion dollars is about 10 million average man-years of work. Let's suppose
the average person earns 20% more than he consumes in necessities and pays out in taxes.
That means that the equivalent of five million Americans would have had to work 10 years
to generate the wealth to send a man to Mars. Five million Americans... in complete
indentured servitude. Yes, these taxpayers would have accomplished NASA's grand
plan. But what of their own plans? What about their plans to start computer companies,
telecommunications firms, Internet companies. Many of those firms would not exist today.
And think about your own plans over the last 10 years. Your plans to buy a house, to have
a child, to buy a musical instrument for your child or for yourself, to go to graduate
school, to start a school, to produce a movie. The money you spent on those things would
probably have been taxed away from you instead. The money you borrowed or raised for those
plans would probably not have been there for the raising. The job you've had would
probably not have existed. The booming economy of the past decade might well have been a
bust. Sure, going to Mars is a noble plan. But many people have had, and continue to have,
their own noble plans. By what right can you force people to give up their own plans in
order to serve yours? By no right.
And what would happen to Mars after a successful government mission to land there?
Probably the same thing that happened to the moon after the Apollo missions:
nothing-unless the government continued to spend billions of dollars for the next steps.
Not unless private citizens have property rights will they have reason to invest their
time and money, as they did in the first scenario I described. Not until there are
property rights can people plan long-range for productive use of the property.
In order to have a productive, thriving, civilized Mars, property rights must be secure.
But how can Martian pioneers stand up for their own property rights, if they advocate
violating the property rights of others?
Analyzing the history of American railroads, Ayn Rand wrote: "One of the statists'
arguments in favor of government controls is the notion that American railroads were built
mainly through the financial help of the government and would have been impossible without
it."3 If it is
the government that gets to Mars, the government will forever take credit for it and will
forever claim this excuse for denying property rights on Mars as on Earth.
I say to the lovers of freedom who would be pioneers of Mars: If you let the government be
the first explorers of Mars, you are setting yourselves up for failure.
In short: No good can come from non-military government exploration of space. Any good
that seems to come from it, such as a successful mission, is paid for by the loss of other
goods-the plans of millions of individuals-that are quashed. And even the Martian
pioneers-the supposed beneficiaries of government financing-will find themselves
ultimately controlled by the government.
Dr. Zubrin has said that our civilization needs a new frontier, a new challenge to keep us
progressing. New frontiers are important, but I have a different view of the causal chain
involved. Frontiers have always existed and always will. The land of America existed all
through the Dark Ages. It was a frontier waiting to be explored, but not until the
Renaissance did that exploration begin. And once the principle of property rights was
expounded by John Locke and carried through by the Founding Fathers, that exploration
thrived as never before. I say: Defend individual rights, defend individuals' rights to
their own property, and those individuals will always discover new frontiers to explore
and own.
If you want to see the development of Martian civilization in our lifetime, then make Mars
private property-now. Make it possible for Martian explorers to keep the fruits of their
labors, and fruit aplenty will spring from Martian soil.
References
1 Ayn Rand, Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal (The New American
Library, New York), 1967, p. 19.
2 Ayn Rand, The Virtue of Selfishness (The New American Library,
New York), 1964, p. 94.
3 Ayn Rand, Capitalism, p. 102.
For further Reading:
Value Created by First Martian Explorer
By Ronald Pisaturo
In my article "Mars: Who Should Own It," I stated: Whoever implements the
concept of getting to Mars and living there turns a virtually worthless ball of rock into
something of substantial value. Let's check my premises... [read
more online]
A
Government-Financed Mars Prize?
By Ronald Pisaturo
In The Case for Mars, Robert Zubrin's book that
describes his radical new way for man to reach Mars (a way that years later has been
adopted by NASA), Dr. Zubrin mentions the idea of a Mars Prize, which he "came up
with under the prodding of" Newt Gingrich in 1994. Under this plan, the government
would forego its own Mars exploration program, and instead offer a cash prize (of say, $30
billion) for the first successful private mission to Mars... [read
more online]